20 October 2010

Prison Reform Trust lies

The cynical toad Ken Clarke has pretty much become the mouthpiece for the PRT: "Prison should be reserved for those whose
 offending is so serious that they cannot serve
 their sentence in the community" is straight from the PRT website, which also states "The United Kingdom has the highest imprisonment rate in Western Europe at 151 per 100,000 of the population". There follows a quick blow-job for fatty:
The last time Ken Clarke was in charge of prison and penal policy, as Home Secretary, the average prison population (1992-93) was 44,628. Figures just released by the Prison Service show that prison numbers for England and Wales have now exceeded 85,000. In France, with the same population as Britain, prison numbers are 59,655.
Well now, let's see. The Civitas website asks "Do we have too many people in prison?" and seeks to answer it in terms of prisoners per 1,000 recorded crimes, the only sane comparative statistic. The following chart shows that England and Wales in fact have a lower imprisonment rate than France, and considerably lower than the Western European average.

The third column shows what would be the prison population of England and Wales (given as 80,000) if we imprisoned criminals at the same rate as other countries. At the French rate, the prison population would be 91,113, at the EU average rate it would be 113,150. 


 Country

Prisoners per 1,000 recorded crimes

% difference from England and Wales


'What if'?
Spain

57.13

462

369,369
Portugal

34.33

277

221,987
Ireland

28.60

231

184,928
Italy

24.00

194

155,165
Greece

19.48

157

125,920
Luxembourg

19.39

157

125,394
EU Average

17.51

141

113,150
France

14.09

114

91,133
Scotland

13.63

110

88,142
Netherlands

13.21

107

85,393
England and Wales

12.37

100

80,000
Austria

12.29

99

79,486
Germany

12.09

98

78,148
Northern Ireland

9.29

75

60,094
Belgium

8.57

69

55,442
Denmark

7.37

60

47,665
Finland

6.38

52

41,269
Sweden

5.40

44

34,905
























So, the Prison Reform Trust lies, Ken Clarke lies, and the Coalition government's new penal policy is a lie. We have a much higher rate of crimes per 1,000 population - that is the problem. 

Countries with low rates of criminality have the following in common: if you commit a crime, there is a high probability that you will be arrested; if arrested there is as high probability that you will be convicted; if convicted you will receive meaningful punishment; and if you re-offend, the punishment will be more severe.

None of these applies in England and Wales. QED. All the rest is bollocks.

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