The last time Ken Clarke was in charge of prison and penal policy, as Home Secretary, the average prison population (1992-93) was 44,628. Figures just released by the Prison Service show that prison numbers for England and Wales have now exceeded 85,000. In France, with the same population as Britain, prison numbers are 59,655.Well now, let's see. The Civitas website asks "Do we have too many people in prison?" and seeks to answer it in terms of prisoners per 1,000 recorded crimes, the only sane comparative statistic. The following chart shows that England and Wales in fact have a lower imprisonment rate than France, and considerably lower than the Western European average.
The third column shows what would be the prison population of England and Wales (given as 80,000) if we imprisoned criminals at the same rate as other countries. At the French rate, the prison population would be 91,113, at the EU average rate it would be 113,150.
Country | Prisoners per 1,000 recorded crimes | % difference from England and Wales | 'What if'? | |||
Spain | 57.13 | 462 | 369,369 | |||
Portugal | 34.33 | 277 | 221,987 | |||
Ireland | 28.60 | 231 | 184,928 | |||
Italy | 24.00 | 194 | 155,165 | |||
Greece | 19.48 | 157 | 125,920 | |||
Luxembourg | 19.39 | 157 | 125,394 | |||
EU Average | 17.51 | 141 | 113,150 | |||
France | 14.09 | 114 | 91,133 | |||
Scotland | 13.63 | 110 | 88,142 | |||
Netherlands | 13.21 | 107 | 85,393 | |||
England and Wales | 12.37 | 100 | 80,000 | |||
Austria | 12.29 | 99 | 79,486 | |||
Germany | 12.09 | 98 | 78,148 | |||
Northern Ireland | 9.29 | 75 | 60,094 | |||
Belgium | 8.57 | 69 | 55,442 | |||
Denmark | 7.37 | 60 | 47,665 | |||
Finland | 6.38 | 52 | 41,269 | |||
Sweden | 5.40 | 44 | 34,905 |
So, the Prison Reform Trust lies, Ken Clarke lies, and the Coalition government's new penal policy is a lie. We have a much higher rate of crimes per 1,000 population - that is the problem.
Countries with low rates of criminality have the following in common: if you commit a crime, there is a high probability that you will be arrested; if arrested there is as high probability that you will be convicted; if convicted you will receive meaningful punishment; and if you re-offend, the punishment will be more severe.
None of these applies in England and Wales. QED. All the rest is bollocks.
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